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UK government borrowing costs rise as Starmer ‘fails to reassure bond markets’ – as it happened

11/5/2026
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UK government borrowing costs are creeping a little higher after a morning of rising political jitters,The yield, or interest rate, on UK 30-year bonds is now up 8 basis points (0,08 of a percentage point) at 5,65%, up from 5,57% on Friday night.

That’s higher than just before Keir Starmer’s speech this morning, when they were up about 5bps.Benchmark 10-year bond yields have risen higher too – now up 6bps, having been 4bps higher earlier in the morning.Rising bond yields indicate that bond prices have dropped, suggesting less appetite for UK debt and pushing up the cost of borrowing.These increases comes as Labour MP, David Smith, has said Starmer should set a timetable for his departure and that the government neeed “to act faster, and be more radical”.Update: Labour MP Catherine West, who announced a challenge to Starmer over the weekend, has now said she wants the prime minister to set a timetable of September for an orderly departure.

Susannah Streeter, chief investment strategist at Wealth Club, says there are concerns in the bond markets that a change of Prime Minister would prompt wider turmoil at the top of government, and less focus on fiscal rules.Streeter writes:double quotation mark“Keir Starmer’s address to the nation hasn’t done the trick of calming bond markets.There is still a sense of jitters playing out as concerns about political instability collide with inflationary fears prompted by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.His speech was designed to project a ‘keep calm and carry on’ message, but the worry is that it lacks the real substance needed to keep Labour MPs on side.Ten-year gilt yields have crept higher, nudging 5% once more, while longer-dated government debt remains hovering above 5.

6%.They have not been at this level for a sustained period since the late 1990s.Time to recap….The cost of UK government borrowing has risen as Keir Starmer’s crucial speech failed to dispel investor “jitters” in the bond markets over political instability combined with fears of rising inflation.The yield, effectively the interest rate, on the benchmark 10-year UK government bonds (known as gilts) rose by just over eight basis points (or 0.

08 of a percentage point) to 5% today.The yield on 30-year gilts rose over 10 basis points to 5.68%, edging closer to the 28-year high of 5.78% last week when uncertainty about Starmer’s future as prime minister was intensifying.In his speech, Starmer said he would fight any leadership challenge and would not walk away from his responsibilities after Labour’s drubbing in local elections in England and parliamentary contests in Scotland and Wales last week.

Analysts said that Keir Starmer’s speech had failed to reassure bond markets.The Item Club have estimated the UK economy will shed 163,000 jobs this year, as the Iran war drive up energy costs and hits household disposable income.Heathrow has reported a drop in passenger numbers in April, as the Middle East conflict hit flights.Factory gate inflation in China has hit its highest in almost four years.The German energy group E.

ON has agreed to buy struggling UK rival Ovo in a deal that would create Britain’s biggest gas and electricity supplier by number of households served,Bank of England deputy governor Sam Woods has warned of “significant disruption to come” for banking customers due to rapid developments in AI,Speaking during a fireside chat at the UK Finance Growth Delivery Summit at Drapers Hall in London, Woods said the advent of AI models like Anthropic’s Mythos have notably increased the ability to find weaknesses in bank’s tech systems,He said that would result in banks ramping up efforts to get ahead of bad actors, by “patching” their IT infrastructure more often,While that may sound like positive news, patching is one of the most common causes of banking outages, leading Woods to warn of “significant disruption to come.

” (A reminder that customers of the UK’s nine largest banks and building societies suffered the equivalent of 33 days of outages - around 803 hours - between January 2023 and February 2025, according to the Treasury Committee,)Political uncertainty hasn’t stopped London’s blue-chip share index gaining ground today,The FTSE 100 share index has closed 36 points higher, or +0,36%, at 10,269 points,In truth, the Footsie is a better gauge of the global economy than the domestic one.

Top riser was Airtel Africa, up 15% after Indian parent Bharti revealed it is considering increasing its stake in the business.Mining companies also rallied.The pound is now very slightly HIGHER against the US dollar.Sterling has gained 0.1% to $1.

3645, despite the political drama swirling in Westminster….With UK bond yields still higher as trading draws towards a close, Professor Costas Milas of the University of Liverpool tells us:double quotation markThere is no doubt that most of the latest rise in UK yields is due to higher, and sticky, inflation compared to other EU countries and/or the US.Nevertheless, the ongoing political instability, which raises the issue of how well the country can be governed, adds significantly to our cost of borrowing.Recall that the Bank of England currently pursues active Quantitative Tightening policies (I.e.

it sells UK bonds; the reversal of QE) which also contribute to higher yields,It would be wrong for analysts/commentators/experts to call for a QT halt for two reasons,First, the BoE would then be accused of interfering with political issues,Second, abandoning (albeit temporarily) QT, would add further to inflation pressures at the very time the BoE is trying to find a way of dealing with them,.

,US home sales rose by less than expected last month, as higher interest rates hit demand,Sales of existing homes rose by 0,2% last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4,02m units, the National Association of Realtors has reported, below forecasts of a rise to 4.

05m units.Lawrence Yun, the NAR’s chief economist, says:double quotation mark“Despite mixed macroeconomic signals, including a record-high stock market and historically low consumer confidence, home sales were modestly boosted by the continued improvement in housing affordability.”Wall Street’s main indexes have opened cautiously, as fears over the Iran war talks lifted oil prices.The Dow Jones Industrial Average has dropped by 0.05%, or 35 points, at 49,574 points.

The broader S&P 500 index is up 0.15%, and the Nasdaq Composite is 0.1% higher.Investors are on edge after Donald Trump called Iran’s response to a US peace proposal ‘totally unacceptable’, and Tehran said it will retaliate against any new US strikes or foreign warships in the strait of Hormuz.At least one in seven UK workers had their employment rights violated between 2023 and 2025, a report by University College London suggests.

Researchers from UCL found that at least 5.4 million workers had faced clear violations of UK employment law, including being paid below the national minimum wage, charged work-finding fees, and not receiving payslips or contracts.The team spoke to representative sample of more than 4,000 UK workers about their experiences at work over the two year period.They found that 6.1% were paid below the national minimum wage, a rate four times higher than the previous estimate of 1.

6% published by the Office for National Statistics.Low-income workers were found to be particularly vulnerable, with the rate of violations rising to more than one in four (25.6%) for employees from minority-ethnic backgrounds or in non-traditional jobs.Approximately 26 to 28 million people, or 70% of the workforce, have experienced at least one of a broader range of harms, also including potentially illegal or otherwise damaging work practices, according to the researchers.These other negative impacts included working extra hours unpaid, physical injuries in the workplace, and bullying or harassment.

“Not all breaches of the law are deliberate and not all harmful behaviour is illegal,” said UCL professor Ella Cockbain, who co-led the project.“But the sheer scale of problems identified suggests widespread non-compliance and other harms at work.”The report recommended the government improve communications about workers’ rights, and create easier and safer methods for reporting abuses, including multi-lingual communications and safeguards for migrant workers.Cockbain added:double quotation mark“The received wisdom that there are a few ‘bad apples’ among employers is simply not tenable anymore.We found problems across the system, and rights on paper did not necessarily translate into rights in practice.

The results call for concerted action to improve worker protections and their enforcement,”Since the research period, new legislation under the Employment Rights Act, which came into force last month has improved a number of conditions for employees and workers, including guaranteed hours and payment for short-notice cancellation of shifts, a ban on fire-and-rehire in most cases, paternity and parental leave from day one and stronger trade union rights,The research was conducted by UCL in collaboration with the University of Gloucester, and co-funded by the Department for Business and Trade and the Economic and Social Research Council,It was published by the newly established Fair Work Agency,Elsewhere in the markets, India’s stock market fell sharply today after the country’s prime minister called on citizens to conserve fuel, work from home where possible and cut back on travel and imports.

Narendra Modi made the call to ease pressure on the country’s foreign exchange ​reserves, as the Iran war causes economic turbulence,Investors took it badly, though, with India’s Sensex falling by 1,7% today,Shumita Deveshwar of City consultancy TS Lombard say the comments are “a stark reminder of the macro risks India faces from a prolonged conflict”,A shift to the left for the Labour party would trigger “at least a temporary period of pound selling”, predicts Lee Hardman, currency expert at Japanese bank MUFG.

So far today, though, the pound is flat against the euro at €1.156, and down just 0.15% against the US dollar at $1.361.UK 10-year bond yields have just hit the 5% milestone.

That’s a jump of eight basis points (0.08 of a percentage point), to the highest level since last Wednesday, approaching their highest level since the 2008 financial crisis.Enrique Díaz-Alvarez, chief economist at global financial services firm Ebury, argues that the pound has weathered the results of the May local elections in the UK remarkably well.With sterling down just 0.2% so far today, Díaz-Alvarez argues that the Labour bloodbath was roundly expected and priced in by markets, adding:double quotation mark“Investors are betting that Labour’s overwhelming defeat will not end Starmer’s premiership just yet, but pressure on the prime minister looks set to intensify in the coming days, with a number of backbenchers already calling for his resignation.

“As this is written, no potential rivals on his left have launched a formal bid to replace him, although there are murmurs that the likes of Rayner and Streeting are privately weighing their options,“A potential lurch to the left is what markets fear most, as this could mean higher taxes, heavier gilt issuance and a broader fiscal risk premium baked into UK assets,Shorter-dated UK government bonds, which are more sensitive to short-term inflation risks, are also weakening today,This has pushed up the yields on two-year, and five-year, gilts by around 8bps today – bigger rises than for US shorter-dated bonds,And still UK bond yields creep higher.

The 30-year bond yield is now up 9,3 basis points (0,093 of a percentage point), to 5,67%,That takes it nearer to the 28-year high of 5.

78% hit last week, amid uncertainty about the future of Keir Starmer’s government.
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Global oil inventories falling at record pace amid Iran war; US producer price inflation hits four-year high – as it happened

Global oil stocks are being run down at a record pace as supply losses mount due to the ongoing Iran war, the International Energy Agency has warned.In its latest outlook report, the IEA reports that global oil inventories fell by 129 million barrels in March, and by a further 117 million barrels in April, as countries dipped into their reserves to cover the shortfall following the Middle East conflict.The IEA, which ordered the largest release of government oil reserves in its history in mid-March, reports:double quotation markMore than ten weeks after the war in the Middle East began, mounting supply losses from the Strait of Hormuz are depleting global oil inventories at a record pace.The IEA also forecasts weaker demand this year, as the jump in prices for crude oil and refined products leads to demand destruction.World oil demand is forecast to contract by 420,000 barrels per day this year, to 104m bpd, which is 1

13/5/2026
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Lab testing group Intertek to back £10.6bn takeover by Swedish firm EQT

The laboratory testing company Intertek has become the latest FTSE 100 business to agree to a takeover, backing a £10.6bn approach from a private equity firm owned by Sweden’s billionaire Wallenberg family.After rebuffing three previous approaches, Intertek’s board said it was “minded to recommend” the £60-a-share tilt from the Swedish buyout firm EQT to shareholders, if there was a firm offer.The deal is worth £10.6bn including debt, or £9

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Fortescue ordered to pay Yindjibarndi traditional owners $150m in record native title payout

Mining company Fortescue has been ordered to pay $150m in compensation to traditional owners over cultural losses caused by the multibillion-dollar Solomon Hub iron ore mine – the largest compensation payout in native title history.The mine, which has extracted millions of tonnes of iron ore and generated an estimated $80bn in revenue for Fortescue since operations began in 2013, was approved by the Western Australian government without the consent of the Yindjibarndi traditional owners.The Yindjibarndi Ngurra Aboriginal Corporation (YNAC) launched the compensation claim in 2022 and sought $1.8bn, including $1bn for cultural damage, $678m for economic loss, $34.85m for the destruction of sites, and $112

12/5/2026
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British Steel: more questions than answers on the future | Nils Pratley

“One of the proudest things we have done in government,” said Keir Starmer in Monday’s big speech about the decision a year ago to recall parliament in order to take control of British Steel at Scunthorpe.It was an odd boast because last year’s action was merely an emergency exercise in saving the patient, as opposed to getting British Steel on its feet and out of the hospital. Taking control meant the Chinese owner, Jingye, could not turn off the two blast furnaces but meant the government was on the hook for operational losses, which will be £615m and counting by next month according to the National Audit Office (NAO).Full nationalisation is now on the cards, which will end the limbo-land state of ownership and give some comfort for 4,000 workers. But it is also the point at which the government will have to choose between its barely described “potential future options” for British Steel

11/5/2026
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E.ON agrees to buy Ovo in deal to create UK’s biggest energy supplier

The German energy group E.ON has agreed to buy struggling UK rival Ovo in a deal that would create Britain’s biggest gas and electricity supplier by number of households served.The combined company will supply about 9.6 million customers, overtaking the market leader, Octopus, which serves almost 8m homes in the UK.The value of the deal was not disclosed, but reports have estimated it at £600m

11/5/2026
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Thinktank calls for ‘double lock’ England private rent cap to ease living costs

One of the thinktanks closest to the Labour government is urging ministers to introduce private sector rent controls in England, as the chancellor weighs up how to ease a surge in living costs caused by the Iran war.The Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR) has published a paper calling for a rent “double lock”, which would link rent increases to either wages or inflation, depending on which was lower.While others on the left have previously called for rent controls, the IPPR’s extensive links inside government will increase pressure on ministers to include the idea in a cost of living package to be announced by Rachel Reeves later in May.The Guardian revealed last month that Reeves had been considering a one-year rent freeze to deal with a rise in inflation which economists say is now inevitable, but the idea was quickly dismissed by Downing Street.Maya Singer Hobbs, the author of the paper, said: “There are millions of people living with unaffordable housing costs, and if you want to bring those down quickly there are not many options

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