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Why Russia’s economy is unlikely to collapse even if oil prices fall

Pacing inside the Kremlin last weekend, as news feeds churned out minute-by-minute reports of Donald’s Trump’s Venezuelan coup, Vladimir Putin may have been wondering what it would mean for the price of oil.Crude oil has lubricated the Russian economy for decades – far more than gas exports to Europe – and so the threat of falling oil prices, prompted by US plans for control of Venezuela’s rigs, will have been a source of concern.Opinion is divided on how quickly the South American country’s creaking oil industry can be revived. But some analysts believe that Venezuela, home to the world’s largest proven reserves, could be pumping millions of additional barrels as early as this year, hitting the global price and squeezing Russia’s income.US sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil last year and a rise in the rouble, depressing income from oil sales in dollars, have already reduced receipts for Moscow

about 5 hours ago
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Wessex Water bosses handed £50,000 in extra pay despite Labour government’s bonus ban

The bosses of Wessex Water received £50,000 in previously undisclosed extra pay from a parent company, in the same year that the utility was banned from paying bonuses, the Guardian can reveal.Chief executive Ruth Jefferson and chief financial officer Andy Pymer were paid £24,000 and £27,000 respectively in the year to June 2025, according to a spokesperson for Wessex Water’s owner, the Malaysian YTL group.The payments came from Wessex Water Ltd, which is the parent company of Wessex Water Services Ltd, the regulated water supplier for 2.9 million customers in south-west England. YTL said the payments were not bonuses

about 13 hours ago
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Elon Musk says UK wants to suppress free speech as X faces possible ban

Elon Musk has accused the UK government of wanting to suppress free speech after ministers threatened fines and a possible ban for his social media site X after its AI tool, Grok, was used to make sexual images of women and children without their consent.The billionaire claimed Grok was the most downloaded app on the UK App Store on Friday night after ministers threatened to take action unless the function to create sexually harassing images was removed.Responding to threats of a ban from the government, Musk wrote: “They just want to suppress free speech”.Thousands of women have faced abuse from users of the AI tool which was first used to digitally strip fully clothed photographs into images showing them wearing micro bikinis, and then used for extreme image manipulation.Pictures of teenage girls and children were altered to show them wearing swimwear, leading experts to say some of the content could be categorised as child sexual abuse material

about 8 hours ago
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Behind the Somali daycare panic is a mother-and-son duo angling to be top Maga influencers

YouTube influencer Nick Shirley, whose viral video alleging fraud by daycare centers servicing Minneapolis’s Somali American community came days ahead of the Trump administration’s declaration of a national funding freeze, has for years published conspiracy-minded takes on hot-button rightwing issues.The Guardian’s journalism is independent. We will earn a commission if you buy something through an affiliate link. Learn more.He also has close ties to the White House, Republicans, and to representatives of an earlier generation of rightwing partisan “ambush journalists” such as James O’Keefe

about 8 hours ago
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‘It doesn’t really hit your socials’: Is this Australia’s best kept sporting secret? | Sarah Guiney

If there is one thing Australians pride themselves on, it’s playing sport in the elements. From long days of cricket at the height of summer, the sun beating down harsh and unforgiving, to mud-soaked footy in the dead of winter. It’s a test of character, and Australians wear it like a badge of honour.So perhaps it is a surprise that Australia has yet to embrace ice hockey; tucked away in rinks so cold you need a puffer jacket just to sit and watch, even during summer. Combine that with its speed and brutal physicality, and it seems to tick every box

about 2 hours ago
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Coco Gauff beats Iga Swiatek but Poland best US to reach United Cup final

A statement victory for Coco Gauff over her great rival Iga Swiatek proved to be insufficient to the American’s hopes of leading her team into the final of the United Cup. Poland showed their depth in an excellent team performance to close out a 2-1 win over the United States at the Ken Rosewall Arena in Sydney.Poland, who finished runners-up to the US last year, exacted their revenge courtesy of the doubles specialists Jan Zielinski and Katarzyna Kawa, who maintained their unbeaten run in the competition by defeating Christian Harrison and Gauff 7-6 (5), 7-6 (3) in the decisive third rubber. Poland face Switzerland in the final on Sunday after the Swiss defeated Belgium 2-1.The tie opened with another victory for Hubert Hurkacz, who continued his impressive comeback from injury by defeating the world No 9, Taylor Fritz, 7-6 (1), 7-6 (2)

about 6 hours ago
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Comedy and tragedy, with Spike Milligan | Letter

1 day ago
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Warren Lakin obituary

1 day ago
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AI, Salman Rushdie and Elon Musk: the most anticipated documentaries of 2026

1 day ago
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Stephen Colbert on ICE killing of Minnesota woman: ‘A senseless yet entirely predictable tragedy’

1 day ago
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Almost 50 writers boycott Adelaide festival after it dumps pro-Palestine academic Randa Abdel-Fattah

1 day ago
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Seth Meyers on Trump officials justifying Venezuela assault: ‘Lamest dorks on the planet’

2 days ago

Big Bash League momentum builds but its future remains up in the air | Jack Snape

1 day ago
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Renegades fans got a kick out of the Melbourne BBL derby last Sunday, as they watched their side triumph in the final over against the crosstown Stars,But it was Australian cricket officials who went home giddy amid an increasingly heated international contest between T20 franchise leagues,The 68,124 at the MCG – the highest BBL crowd since 2017 – were joined by almost 38,000 in Perth to watch the Scorchers beat the Strikers later that night,The combined turnout set the competition’s single-day attendance record of 105,767,It was a statement for the BBL on the same day its major global competitors held their own marquee fixtures.

In the UAE’s ILT20 final, the Desert Vipers defeated MI Emirates but the 25,000-seat Dubai International Cricket Stadium was well short of full.In South Africa’s T20 league, the crowd at Newlands was healthier, but a low MI Cape Town total allowed local rivals Paarl to end the one-sided match seven overs early.A push for private investment in the BBL is being driven by a need to keep pace with these upstart competitions, and ensure Australia’s now 15-year-old T20 showpiece remains a key part of the increasingly crowded calendar.But Alistair Dobson, Cricket Australia’s head of BBL and WBBL, argues it’s not all about the money.“We’re pretty competitive on salaries, albeit that’s going to continue to be important for us,”, he says, looking out over the MCG before the clash between the Stars and Sixers on Thursday.

“But you have to look out here at the MCG to see the quality of the experience that our players get.We talk to them a lot about what’s important to them, and yes, being paid appropriately is important, but coming and playing in the Australian cricket summer is a massive selling point.”Sam Curran was in Dubai for that final on Sunday as captain of the triumphant Vipers, owned by Avram Glazer of Manchester United fame.The England allrounder flew to Sydney the following day to join up with the Sixers, and played his first BBL match against the Stars of his brother Tom (who was a late withdrawal with hip soreness) on Thursday.Curran hadn’t been to Melbourne since being named player of the match in the 2022 T20 World Cup final at the MCG more than three years ago.

“I’ve never really had the time in terms of fitting [BBL] in the schedules, but as soon as the opportunity came to come to the Big Bash, I’m thankful I got picked up,” Curran says, having experienced a mixed debut which included two catches, 17 runs but also a first over which went for 21.“Tonight’s show is obviously my first experience of it.It’s noisy, there are a lot of kids around, and it’s a great place to play cricket.”The next few weeks offer the BBL precious oxygen in the suffocating cricket calendar.Australia’s Ashes winners will return to their BBL franchises for the end of the regular season and lead-up to the finals, allowing the league to tap into the Ashes afterglow.

And all but one BBL side is still in with a chance of playing finals.As talks intensify around opening up the BBL to private investors, there will never be a better opportunity for the league to highlight the value of its product.Television audiences on both Foxtel and Seven are up, and last week – thanks to the Ashes lead-in – BBL matches attracted an average over 1m viewers across free-to-air and subscription platforms on four consecutive nights for the first time in seven years.“It does feel like we’re getting back towards that level of public consciousness and public interest,” Dobson says, arguing the turnaround is caused by a combination of factors, including contracting quality players, high scoring, and long-term returns of being early to the T20 revolution.“15 years old is still a young league in the context of the footy codes in Australia, but we’re now seeing second generations of fans come through,” he says.

Much about the BBL’s future, however, is up in the air.Cricket Australia is trying to convince the state bodies and the players’ association to open up the eight BBL sides to investment from wealthy global elites, including some who own franchises in the Indian Premier League, the UK’s Hundred, and even in the BBL’s main rivals in South Africa and the UAE.Such a move would require a rethink of Australian cricket, including where the BBL sits alongside the Tests in the Australian summer, with the lingering questions including who benefits from the influx of private money and how much should be channelled towards overseas players.Meetings between Cricket Australia and the states will continue in coming weeks.The potential is not hard to see.

On Thursday at the MCG, hundreds of Melburnians with Pakistani backgrounds stayed back after the game seeking an audience with Babar Azam, the megastar opener who is playing his first BBL season with the Sixers,Dobson expects more opportunities to emerge to build interest from south Asian audiences,Although male Indian players have long been barred from taking part in the Australian T20 competition, Ravi Ashwin – after his retirement from international cricket – signed with the Sydney Thunder for this season,Unfortunately, the spinner with 1,8m YouTube subscribers pulled out with an injury, but he is reportedly keen to return next summer.

“As the BBL is in an evolution from being perhaps a domestic league into a global one – albeit we’ve always had overseas players, we’ve had a very domestic focus – the future for us is getting a balance of global and domestic,” Dobson says.“So we’ll need to be creative and ambitious around that and continue to tell our story.”