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‘Could do a better job than Keir Starmer’: who could replace the PM if he is forced out?

about 17 hours ago
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With Keir Starmer’s poll ratings getting worse, and the Labour party alarmed by the prospect of wipeout at next May’s local elections, there is much speculation at Westminster about whether he can last the course.The prime minister has no intention of standing aside for another candidate, saying he has defied his detractors before and would do so again.But with many on his own side fearing that he doesn’t have what it takes to turn things around, he may not have the chance.The jostling among those who may wish to replace him – or whose allies believe they’d do a better job – continues…Timing is everything in politics.When Downing Street unleashed an extraordinary bout of leadership speculation amid fears Starmer was vulnerable to a challenge after the budget, it was not Rayner they were worried about.

Although his former deputy remains popular among Labour MPs, the unions and the membership, it was widely felt that she needed more time for the scandal around her unpaid stamp duty bill to fall away.With the aftermath of the May elections now looking like Starmer’s moment of greatest peril, however, Rayner has time to rebuild.By then, she could even be back in cabinet, with the prime minister saying at the weekend he was “really sad that we lost her”.Since she left office, Rayner has been mostly sticking to policy interventions, but allies have been on manoeuvres behind the scenes and all the indications are that she sees her future role as more than just kingmaker.While allies deny Rayner has agreed – or would agree – any sort of pact with Wes Streeting, sources have suggested that if she did win the Labour crown, she might have to appoint a chancellor on the right of the party to assuage the markets.

It is no surprise that figures close to the prime minister had the health secretary in their sights when they warned last month that a leadership challenge would be a huge error.Streeting has made little secret of his ambitions and – aware that his best chance might be when Rayner was out of the running – his allies accept that he had stepped up a gear, courting MPs and thinking about strategy.“It’s planning, though, not plotting,” one insisted, stressing that he had no desire to actually wield the metaphorical knife.Often dismissed as being too right wing to get past Labour members, Streeting has defied expectations in recent months on issues including Gaza and welfare cuts – and has implicitly criticised party leadership.The shift appears to have been noticed by the membership, with recent polls giving him a cabinet approval rating second only to Ed Miliband.

Party members told YouGov the ability to beat Nigel Farage was a more important quality than sharing their values.When Starmer reshuffled his cabinet back in September, moving Shabana Mahmood to the Home Office was seen by some as a masterstroke.With immigration so high up the political agenda, appointing a minister on the right of the party with a reputation for taking on challenging issues was welcomed even by the right wing press.Mahmood’s allies suggest she is closer to the centre of political gravity in the UK than just about anybody else in the cabinet – leaning to the left on economic issues and to the right on social ones.She earned her reputation as a sharp political operator in opposition as Labour’s national campaign coordinator who, along with Morgan McSweeney, laid the groundwork for the subsequent election victory.

But while she is supported by a strong team, and has some starry-eyed fans on the Labour backbenches, others are more sceptical,Her hardline reforms to the asylum and returns system saw her support plummet among party members,And while allies believe she could make her case for the leadership in any contest, friends say that Mahmood herself remained unconvinced the country was ready to be led by a Muslim woman, even if the party was,Even though it’s more than a decade since he led Labour to general election defeat, Milifandom is still very much a thing, with Ed Miliband regularly topping cabinet approval ratings – often way ahead of his colleagues,At the party’s annual conference in Liverpool, he was the darling of the fringe circuit.

The energy secretary is one of the few ministers to be evangelical about his brief – leading the green energy transition and the fight against climate change.It means he has picked up enemies on the right along the way, but has shown his ability to bend the machinery of government to his will.Miliband even refused the prime minister’s attempts to move him in the reshuffle.Some of the former Labour leader’s allies say that he wouldn’t want the job again – he just thinks he could do a better job than Starmer.Others say he is frustrated not to get more of a hearing inside No 10 – especially as he has direct experience of leadership to share.

They caution he would be reluctant to enter the fray when it cost him so much personally last time.He’s more likely to be kingmaker than the next king.The defence secretary, John Healey, is talked about as a “safe pair of hands”, a solid performer and is popular across the Labour party, but is unlikely to excite the masses.Andy Burnham, however, regularly tops political popularity ratings with the public.But while the Greater Manchester mayor’s ambition is clear, his route back to Westminster looks difficult.

Other Labour figures who could throw their hats in the ring in the event of a vacancy include Bridget Phillipson, the education secretary, Lucy Powell, the deputy leader, Darren Jones, the prime minister’s chief secretary, armed forces minister Al Carns, and leftwinger Richard Burgon.
politicsSee all
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‘Could do a better job than Keir Starmer’: who could replace the PM if he is forced out?

With Keir Starmer’s poll ratings getting worse, and the Labour party alarmed by the prospect of wipeout at next May’s local elections, there is much speculation at Westminster about whether he can last the course.The prime minister has no intention of standing aside for another candidate, saying he has defied his detractors before and would do so again. But with many on his own side fearing that he doesn’t have what it takes to turn things around, he may not have the chance.The jostling among those who may wish to replace him – or whose allies believe they’d do a better job – continues…Timing is everything in politics. When Downing Street unleashed an extraordinary bout of leadership speculation amid fears Starmer was vulnerable to a challenge after the budget, it was not Rayner they were worried about

about 17 hours ago
A picture

For once, Nigel Farage is the dog that doesn’t bark | John Crace

The dog that didn’t bark in the night.You can normally set your watches by Reform. It’s a rare Monday morning in which Nigel Farage doesn’t pop up somewhere in central London to give a press conference.Even when he has nothing new to announce, he usually has no shame in saying something he’s said before many times. He likes the attention

about 18 hours ago
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UK will go further to stop ‘abusive’ Slapps lawsuits, Lammy says

David Lammy has said the UK will go further to tackle abusive and spurious lawsuits aimed at silencing whistleblowers and journalists, raising the prospect of further legislation next year.The deputy prime minister told campaigners and officials at the launch of the government’s anti-corruption strategy that he was determined to crack down on the practice known as Slapps – strategic lawsuits against public participation.Excessive legal threats have been used in several cases in an attempt to silence reporting on Russian oligarchs, as well those who tried to expose the Post Office Horizon scandal and allegations against Mohamed Al Fayed.The Ministry of Justice said the first priority would be to action the limited provisions in the Economic Crime and Corporate Transparency Act 2023, which tackle Slapps that relate to economic crimes.It also said it was a “priority commitment” in the strategy to consider the future approach for comprehensively tackling all Slapps

about 18 hours ago
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‘It’s Scotland’s energy’: SNP to focus on renewables in Holyrood election

The future of Scottish renewables will underpin the Scottish National party’s Holyrood election campaign, the party leader, John Swinney, has said, as he claimed independence could cut household energy bills by a third in the long term.At what was billed as the first campaign event before next May’s elections to the Scottish parliament, Swinney declared: “It’s Scotland’s energy” – mirroring the famous 1970s slogan “It’s Scotland’s oil”, which bolstered the SNP’s first Westminster breakthrough.Contrasting how the UK and Norway managed their oil wealth, the campaign argues that “Westminster handed control of our oil to private companies and funnelled the profits south”, while Norway “kept their oil in public hands, built a national energy company and invested the profits for the long term”.In his speech, Swinney told supporters: “Just like oil and renewables-rich Norway, Scotland has been blessed twice. We may have missed out on the full benefit of our oil and gas bonanza, but with our vast, low-cost renewable energy resource, Scotland has a second chance to get it right

about 19 hours ago
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No 10 declines to comment on White House claim that Europe facing ‘civilisational erasure’ – as it happened

Downing Street has defended Britain’s record on freedom of speech – while declining to comment on a White House policy document saying Europe is at risk of “civilisational erasure”.At the No 10 lobby briefing, the PM’s spokesperson said that he would not comment on the national security strategy published by the White House on Friday because it was as US document.As Jon Henley reports, the document does not just relate to US policy because it says the American government should be “cultivating resistance to Europe’s current trajectory within European nations”.Referring to Europe as a whole, the document says that it does not spend enough on defence and that it suffers from economic stagnation. But it goes on:This economic decline is eclipsed by the real and more stark prospect of civilisational erasure

about 19 hours ago
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Lord Maxton obituary

John Maxton, Lord Maxton, belonged to a generation of able Labour MPs who sustained the party through 18 hard years of opposition before its electoral success in 1997.He retired from the Commons at the following general election and became a respected working peer, serving on the science and technology committee, which reflected longstanding interests and expertise.His friend George Foulkes, with whom he shared a Westminster office for many years, is “pretty sure he was the first MP with a mobile phone”. Maxton maintained an enthusiasm for new technologies, alongside a conviction that the Palace of Westminster should be turned into a museum and replaced with a modern parliamentary home. He advocated electronic voting and supported ID cards as a means to that end

about 19 hours ago
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Was 2025 Oscar Piastri’s best chance at an F1 title or a prelude to glory? | Jack Snape

about 10 hours ago
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Burning down the Baz-house is easy, but what comes after that for England? | Barney Ronay

about 17 hours ago
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‘Like a movie’: Lando Norris relives final lap to glory and partying till 6am as world champion

about 17 hours ago
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Account closures and restrictions are angering racing punters but there is an answer

about 20 hours ago
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Ross Byrne says escort defender crackdown could see locks converted to wings

about 20 hours ago
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McCullum’s ‘overprepared’ Ashes remark may prove England’s Bazball epitaph

about 23 hours ago