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UK mortgage interest rates expected to rise despite Trump’s Iran pause

about 4 hours ago
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Homeowners’ choice of mortgage deals has shrunk and interest rates on home loans are expected to rise this week despite financial markets reacting positively to Donald Trump’s pause on his threat to attack Iranian power plants.Early on Monday, as the end of a two-day deadline set by Trump for a deal with Iran grew closer, financial market data implied that investors believed the Bank of England would attempt to tackle rising prices with four quarter-point increases in rates before the end of December.After Trump instructed US defence officials to postpone airstrikes against Iranian energy infrastructure for five days, investors reduced the number of rate rises they expect to two quarter-point increases, from 3.75% to 4.25% this year.

However, in what will be a blow to mortgage payers, international investors continued to bet that the UK is vulnerable to a sustained rise in inflation after the US-Israel attack on Iran.Expectations that the Bank will raise rates several times this year has driven up the cost of fixed-rate mortgages and is having a “catastrophic impact” on the home loans market, the comparison site Moneyfacts said.The average two-year fixed residential mortgage rate on Monday was 5.43%, up from 5.35% on Friday – the highest level since February 2025, and up from 4.

83% at the start of March.Hundreds of mortgage products have been pulled from the market.There are 6,144 residential mortgage products available, down from 6,659 on Friday.Last week the Bank’s monetary policy committee left rates on hold but signalled it could be forced to increase borrowing costs in the coming months as the attacks on Iran threatened to drive inflation in the UK above 3%.Nicholas Mendes, an adviser at the mortgage broker John Charcol, said products would continue to be pulled and there would be “further upward pressure on fixed mortgage rates as lenders try to keep pace with fast-moving markets”.

He said: “Mortgage pricing does not wait for the Bank of England to come to [make up its mind].“If markets keep pricing in higher rates from here, lenders are likely to continue repricing in advance.”Last week the Bank of England governor, Andrew Bailey, suggested the financial markets were getting ahead of themselves in expecting rate rises this year.Some analysts cast doubt on the likelihood of four rate rises this year.Derek Halpenny, the head of research in global markets for Europe, the Middle East and Africa at MUFG, said the expectation of four rate rises was “overdone”.

Goldman Sachs said UK interest rate rises this year were unlikely,In a note to clients published on Friday, it said: “Our economists now think that the MPC will remain on hold for longer and maintain [the base rate] at 3,75% throughout 2026,”Nevertheless, investors have rushed to buy safe haven assets, pushing the dollar to fresh highs this year,Global stock markets swung on Monday and gold dropped, by 6% to $4,218 an ounce, down from almost $5,600 an ounce in late January.

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Australia’s generation Alpha faces $185k bill over lifetime without urgent action on climate crisis, report finds

The next generation of Australian workers will cop a $185,000 bill over their lifetimes if the country does not act more urgently to address the climate crisis, according to new modelling by a team of young economists at Deloitte.The new report finds that global heating consistent with the current projections would cost the average millennial approximately $130,000 over the rest of their lives, increasing to $165,000 for gen Z.A gen Z Australian’s lifetime income could be $165,000 lower by 2070 without further global action.For generation Alpha, the eldest of whom turn 16 this year, the bill stretches to $185,000 a person by 2070.The report estimates the damage to worker productivity, infrastructure and property, as well as increased health risks and healthcare costs

about 4 hours ago
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UK mortgage interest rates expected to rise despite Trump’s Iran pause

Homeowners’ choice of mortgage deals has shrunk and interest rates on home loans are expected to rise this week despite financial markets reacting positively to Donald Trump’s pause on his threat to attack Iranian power plants.Early on Monday, as the end of a two-day deadline set by Trump for a deal with Iran grew closer, financial market data implied that investors believed the Bank of England would attempt to tackle rising prices with four quarter-point increases in rates before the end of December.After Trump instructed US defence officials to postpone airstrikes against Iranian energy infrastructure for five days, investors reduced the number of rate rises they expect to two quarter-point increases, from 3.75% to 4.25% this year

about 4 hours ago
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Workers who fall for ‘corporate bullshit’ may be worse at their jobs, study finds

Ever sat in a meeting where someone declares that your company is “growth-hacking” and “working at the intersection of cross-collateralization and blue-sky thinking” and called bullshit? Turns out you were right.A new study out of Cornell University published in the journal Personality and Individual Differences found workers most excited and impressed by corporate speak may be the least equipped to make effective, practical business decisions, and it can leave companies with dysfunctional leaders.Academically, “bullshit” is broadly defined as “a type of semantically, logically or epistemically dubious information that is misleadingly impressive, important, informative or otherwise engaging”, according to the study.“Corporate bullshit” is a specific type of bullshit that uses puzzling corporate buzzwords and jargon and is ultimately “semantically empty and often confusing”, according to the research. It is often used by management to persuade and impress, sometimes to inflate perceptions of the company to workers and investors

about 4 hours ago
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World’s broadcasters urge EU to tighten rules for big tech in smart TV battle

The world’s largest broadcasters have pushed for the EU to enforce its toughest regulations against virtual TVs and smart assistants built by Google, Amazon, Apple and Samsung.The call came in a letter from the Association of Commercial Television and Video on Demand Services in Europe (ACT), whose members include Canal+, RTL, Mediaset, ITV, Paramount+, NBCUniversal, Walt Disney, Warner Bros Discovery, Sky and TF1 Groupe.The letter argues that big tech companies have growing control over the operating systems of smart TVs and voice assistants, allowing them to act as “gatekeepers” funnelling users towards some content and away from others.Services such as Amazon’s Fire TV and Google TV have recommendation systems, as well as search functions, that may prioritise some content over others. These systems, built into many smart TVs, stand to shape how millions of users consume television

about 4 hours ago
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Stock markets swing and oil prices fall after Trump postpones strikes on Iran power plants

Global stock markets swung wildly and oil prices fell on Monday after Donald Trump postponed US attacks on Iranian power plants for five days.European stock markets, which had been falling sharply in the hours before Trump’s social media post, mostly rose on Monday as relieved investors digested the update.The French Cac 40, the Spanish Ibex and the German Dax, which all also opened lower, were up by 1%, 1.4% and 1.9% respectively

about 5 hours ago
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HS2 firm says new steel tariffs will ‘exacerbate’ cost pressures for UK construction industry

One of HS2’s biggest contractors has warned the government that raising tariffs on foreign steel imports will “exacerbate” cost pressures for the UK construction industry, amid growing concern over the £100bn railway’s rising budget.Ministers said last week they would double the tariffs on imported steel and slash the amount that can be bought from overseas, in an attempt to save Britain’s struggling steelmakers.However, the move will also raise the cost of the metal, crucial for infrastructure projects such as HS2, at a time when an energy shock from the Iran war is already inflating steel and concrete prices.Mark Reynolds, the chair of the construction company Mace, said that amid the rising energy costs and an already depressed construction sector, the tariffs were “ill-timed and unhelpful and will only exacerbate the challenges” facing the UK industry.Heidi Alexander, the transport secretary, is due to update the Commons on Monday on Labour’s drive to “reset” the cost of HS2 amid concern over its rising price tag

about 13 hours ago
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