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AI firms warned to calculate threat of super intelligence or risk it escaping human control

about 11 hours ago
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Artificial intelligence companies have been urged to replicate the safety calculations that underpinned Robert Oppenheimer’s first nuclear test before they release all-powerful systems.Max Tegmark, a leading voice in AI safety, said he had carried out calculations akin to those of the US physicist Arthur Compton before the Trinity test and had found a 90% probability that a highly advanced AI would pose an existential threat.The US government went ahead with Trinity in 1945, after being reassured there was a vanishingly small chance of an atomic bomb igniting the atmosphere and endangering humanity.In a paper published by Tegmark and three of his students at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), they recommend calculating the “Compton constant” – defined in the paper as the probability that an all-powerful AI escapes human control.In a 1959 interview with the US writer Pearl Buck, Compton said he had approved the test after calculating the odds of a runaway fusion reaction to be “slightly less” than one in three million.

Tegmark said that AI firms should take responsibility for rigorously calculating whether Artificial Super Intelligence (ASI) – a term for a theoretical system that is superior to human intelligence in all aspects – will evade human control.“The companies building super-intelligence need to also calculate the Compton constant, the probability that we will lose control over it,” he said.“It’s not enough to say ‘we feel good about it’.They have to calculate the percentage.”Tegmark said a Compton constant consensus calculated by multiple companies would create the “political will” to agree global safety regimes for AIs.

Tegmark, a professor of physics and AI researcher at MIT, is also a co-founder of the Future of Life Institute, a non-profit that supports safe development of AI and published an open letter in 2023 calling for pause in building powerful AIs.The letter was signed by more than 33,000 people including Elon Musk – an early supporter of the institute – and Steve Wozniak, the co-founder of Apple.The letter, produced months after the release of ChatGPT launched a new era of AI development, warned that AI labs were locked in an “out-of-control race” to deploy “ever more powerful digital minds” that no one can “understand, predict, or reliably control”.Tegmark spoke to the Guardian as a group of AI experts including tech industry professionals, representatives of state-backed safety bodies and academics drew up a new approach for developing AI safely.The Singapore Consensus on Global AI Safety Research Priorities report was produced by Tegmark, the world-leading computer scientist Yoshua Bengio and employees at leading AI companies such as OpenAI and Google DeepMind.

It set out three broad areas to prioritise in AI safety research: developing methods to measure the impact of current and future AI systems; specifying how an AI should behave and designing a system to achieve that; and managing and controlling a system’s behaviour.Referring to the report, Tegmark said the argument for safe development in AI had recovered its footing after the most recent governmental AI summit in Paris, when the US vice-president, JD Vance, said the AI future was “not going to be won by hand-wringing about safety”.Tegmark said: “It really feels the gloom from Paris has gone and international collaboration has come roaring back.”
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‘We’re in the Hamptons of England’: Trump sends wealthy Americans fleeing to the Cotswolds

Thanksgiving in the Cotswolds is no small affair. Every November, Americans flock to the English market town of Stow-on-the-Wold to collect glazed turkey breasts, green bean casserole and a traditional sweet potato dish covered in marshmallows.It is, by Jesse D’Ambrosi’s own admission, “bizarre”. The chef, owner of D’Ambrosi Fine Foods, is one of the many Americans who have made the Cotswolds their home in recent years. Here, her Thanksgiving and Fourth of July food hampers are highly coveted

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Ryanair’s £79 membership scheme takes off – but Which? says ‘think twice’

Ryanair has become the latest low-cost airline to offer a yearly membership scheme that promises benefits such as free reserved seats and cheap flights – but the consumer group Which? says you should look at the small print before you join.The low-cost carrier’s Prime membership costs £79 a person a year and promises 12 free seat reservations, travel insurance, and monthly access to a sale. However, the terms and conditions show a number of limitations.Ads for the new membership scheme boast “free reserved seats” but this is limited to free reservations only on specially designated seats. If there are none left, members have to take a randomly allocated seat or if they want to choose a different seat, they will be charged (minus what the Prime seat costs)

about 16 hours ago
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AI firms warned to calculate threat of super intelligence or risk it escaping human control

Artificial intelligence companies have been urged to replicate the safety calculations that underpinned Robert Oppenheimer’s first nuclear test before they release all-powerful systems. Max Tegmark, a leading voice in AI safety, said he had carried out calculations akin to those of the US physicist Arthur Compton before the Trinity test and had found a 90% probability that a highly advanced AI would pose an existential threat. The US government went ahead with Trinity in 1945, after being reassured there was a vanishingly small chance of an atomic bomb igniting the atmosphere and endangering humanity.In a paper published by Tegmark and three of his students at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), they recommend calculating the “Compton constant” – defined in the paper as the probability that an all-powerful AI escapes human control. In a 1959 interview with the US writer Pearl Buck, Compton said he had approved the test after calculating the odds of a runaway fusion reaction to be “slightly less” than one in three million

about 11 hours ago
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Paul McCartney and Dua Lipa among artists urging Starmer to rethink AI copyright plans

Hundreds of leading figures and organisations in the UK’s creative industries, including Coldplay, Paul McCartney, Dua Lipa, Ian McKellen and the Royal Shakespeare Company, have urged the prime minister to protect artists’ copyright and not “give our work away” at the behest of big tech.In an open letter to Keir Starmer, a host of major artists claim creatives’ livelihoods are under threat as wrangling continues over a government plan to let artificial intelligence companies use copyright-protected work without permission.Describing copyright as the “lifeblood” of their professions, the letter warns Starmer that the proposed legal change will threaten Britain’s status as a leading creative power.“We will lose an immense growth opportunity if we give our work away at the behest of a handful of powerful overseas tech companies and with it our future income, the UK’s position as a creative powerhouse, and any hope that the technology of daily life will embody the values and laws of the United Kingdom,” the letter says.The letter urges the government to accept an amendment to the data bill proposed by Beeban Kidron, the cross-bench peer and leading campaigner against the copyright proposals

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Jannik Sinner returns with a win to leave rocking Rome celebrating again

“Lord forgive me, the Sinner is back,” read a pair of T-shirts, complete with AI-generated religious imagery, worn by two exuberant women sporting orange wigs in a crowd of thousands that had amassed outside the Foro Italico’s stadium court an hour before festivities began.Their joy was reflective of a jubilant night in Rome as Jannik Sinner marked his return to professional tennis after his three-month doping ban with a win on home soil at the Italian Open, closing out a positive performance with a 6-3, 6-4 win over Mariano Navone of Argentina to reach the third round.The men’s world No 1, who received a first round bye, had not competed since entering a case resolution agreement with the World Anti-Doping Agency (Wada) in February. In April last year, the 23-year-old twice tested positive for the banned substance clostebol before the initial independent declared that Sinner bore no fault or negligence for the anti-doping rule violation and would not receive a suspension. Wada chose to appeal to the court of arbitration for sport and sought a ban of one to two years before the two parties came to an agreement

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County cricket day two: Warwickshire’s batters go big against Surrey – as it happened

Three batters shone in Warwickshire’s mammoth 665 for five declared against Surrey on a baked Edgbaston pitch. New Zealand’s Tom Latham hit the highest score on debut for Warwicks, with 184; Ed Barnard flamed a career-best 177, but it is Zen Malik who is in danger of becoming a motivational message. Malik came to Birmingham via six years of touting himself around the counties, SACA, Staffordshire and Glamorgan’s second XI – where he made two centuries against Warwickshire last year and was quickly hoovered up by performance director Gavin Larsen who called him “the best uncontracted player he’d seen”. And now in his second first-class game, aged 27, he lofted Dan Lawrence back over his head for an effortless, twinkle-toed, maiden hundred. Barnard continued his happy day by trapping Rory Burns lbw for 27 before stumps, but another brutal day for the bowlers seems inevitable on Sunday

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