Oil price drops below $90 a barrel after Iran says strait of Hormuz is open
Oil and gas prices fell sharply on Friday after Iran said the strait of Hormuz was open to commercial shipping, potentially clearing the way for tankers holding millions of barrels of oil and gas to reach the global market.Iran’s foreign minister said vessels would be free to transit the strait of Hormuz for the duration of the 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, which was struck on Thursday.Brent crude, the international benchmark, fell more than 10% to $88.8 a barrel.That is well below a peak of $119 last month, but still much higher than the $72 before the war.
Donald Trump later said the US naval blockade on Iran’s use of the strait would remain in full force until Washington had struck a deal with Tehran.He said the process “should go very quickly” because “most of the points are already negotiated”.The benchmark European gas contract fell by about fell by about 6.4% to about €39 (£34) per megawatt hour on hopes that diplomatic progress between the US and Iran could bring an end to the conflict.The news also drove stock markets higher on both sides of the Atlantic.
Germany’s Dax and France’s Cac rose by about 2%, while the Dow Jones and S&P 500 gained 1.8 and 1.2% in New York.In London the FTSE 100 closed up 0.7%.
Tehran’s chokehold on the strait of Hormuz since the US and Israel’s attacks on Iran began seven weeks ago has disrupted supplies of Middle Eastern crude and gas as well as refined fuels from Gulf refineries, in what the International Energy Agency has described as the biggest energy supply crisis in history.Oil and gas prices had already begun to slide after Trump said on Thursday that Israel had agreed a ceasefire with Lebanon, in a big step forward for the US peace talks with Iran.The progress was the clearest sign yet that oil and gas flows could begin to return to normal.However, big questions remained over whether the ceasefire would hold for long enough for tankers stranded in the Gulf to move through the strait and whether shipping companies would be willing to risk a transit.Before the crisis, more than 130 ships a day travelled through the strait, but this has reduced to a trickle under threats from Iran’s Revolutionary Guards.
About 800 tankers remain stuck in the Gulf, of which about 300 are oil and gas tankers.In a statement on social media, Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, said Hormuz was “completely open” for the duration of the ceasefire but tankers must follow the same route through the narrow waterway to the south of Iran nicknamed the “Tehran tollbooth”, so called because the small number of tankers granted permission to pass through in recent weeks have been required to pay Iran about $2m (£1.5m) for safe passage.It is unclear whether tankers would be required to pay this fee or how quickly those willing to make the transit would be able to do so.There was also some doubt about the validity of Aragchi’s claim that the route was open to all, with other Iranian state media calling the post “bad and incomplete” and saying such passage would be considered “void” should the US naval blockade continue.
The head of the International Chamber of Shipping offered a cautious welcome to reports that the waterway was reopening.“While this announcement is a positive step there is still much uncertainty around what it means in practice,” Thomas A Kazakos said.“An orderly and sustained return to normal transit through the Strait will be essential.This will require close coordination between the International Maritime Organization, regional states, naval authorities, and the shipping industry to ensure that vessels can transit safely.”
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IMF chief Georgieva warns ‘everyone will feel the impact’ of energy price shock, as UK growth beats forecasts – as it happened
Over in Washington DC, the International Monetary Fund is holding a debate on the global economy.IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva says the world economy is facing another, large, shock:double quotation markThe world economy has been, very resilient over the last few years, facing shock after the shock. And this resilience is tested yet again, this time by a shock that is large.Twenty percent of oil and gas is stuck in the Strait of Hormuz, depriving primarily Asia, but also Europe, and other parts of the world of a vital resource. It is global
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