Iran war heralds era of AI-powered bombing quicker than ‘speed of thought’
The use of AI tools to enable attacks on Iran heralds a new era of bombing quicker than “the speed of thought”, experts have said, amid fears human decision-makers could be sidelined.Anthropic’s AI model, Claude, was reportedly used by the US military in the barrage of strikes as the technology “shortens the kill chain” – meaning the process of target identification through to legal approval and strike launch.The US and Israel, which previously used AI to identify targets in Gaza, launched almost 900 strikes on Iranian targets in the first 12 hours alone, during which Israeli missiles killed Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.Academics studying the field say AI is collapsing the planning time required for complex strikes – a phenomenon known as “decision compression”, which some fear could result in human military and legal experts merely rubber-stamping automated strike plans.In 2024 the San Francisco-based Anthropic deployed its model across the US Department of War and other national security agencies to speed up war planning.
Claude became part of a system developed by the war-tech company Palantir with the Pentagon to “dramatically improve intelligence analysis and enable officials in their decision-making processes”.“The AI machine is making recommendations for what to target, which is actually much quicker in some ways than the speed of thought,” said Craig Jones, a senior lecturer in political geography at Newcastle University and an expert in kill chains.“So you’ve got scale and you’ve got speed, you’re [carrying out the] assassination-style strikes at the same time as you’re decapitating the regime’s ability to respond with all the aerial ballistic missiles.That might have taken days or weeks in historic wars.[Now] you’re doing everything at once.
”The latest AI systems can rapidly analyse mountains of information on potential targets from drone footage to telecommunications interceptions as well as human intelligence.Palantir’s system uses machine learning to identify and prioritise targets and recommend weaponry, accounting for stockpiles and previous performance against similar targets.It also uses automated reasoning to evaluate legal grounds for a strike.“This is the next era of military strategy and military technology,” said David Leslie, professor of ethics, technology and society at Queen Mary University of London, who has observed demonstrations of AI military systems.He also warned that reliance on AI can result in “cognitive off-loading”.
Humans tasked with making a strike decision can feel detached from its consequences because the effort to think it through has been made by a machine.On Saturday 165 people, many children, were killed in a missile strike that hit a school in southern Iran, according to state media.It appeared to be close to a military barracks and the UN called it “a grave violation of humanitarian law”.The US military has said it is looking into the reports.It is not known what AI systems, if any, Iran has embedded into its war-fighting machine, although it claimed in 2025 to use AI in its missile-targeting systems.
Its own AI programme, hampered by international sanctions, appears negligible by contrast with the AI superpowers of the US and China.In the days before the Iran strikes, the US administration had said it would banish Anthropic from its systems after it refused to allow its AI to be used for fully autonomous weapons or surveillance of US citizens.But it remains in use until it is phased out.Anthropic’s rival, OpenAI, quickly signed its own deal with the Pentagon for military use of its models.“The advantage is in the speed of decision-making, the collapsing of planning from what might have taken days or weeks before to minutes or seconds,” said Leslie.
“These systems produce a set of options for human decision makers but [they’ve] got a much narrower time band … to evaluate the recommendation.”“The deployment of AI is expanding,” said Prerana Joshi, research fellow at the Royal United Services Institute, a defence thinktank.“It is being done across countries’ defence estates … across logistics, training, decision management, maintenance.”She added: “AI is a technology that will allow decision makers, and anyone in that chain, to improve the productivity and efficiency of what they do.It’s a way of synthesising data at a much faster pace that is helpful to decision makers.
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