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‘This election is all to play for’: Can the Scottish Labour leader defy political gravity in May?

about 7 hours ago
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Anas Sarwar says he is certain he can pull off one of the greatest escape acts of modern British politics,It is 14 days until the Holyrood election, and the polls consistently show Scottish Labour is in a battle simply to come second, never mind win,Those polls are wrong, Sarwar says, and in two weeks plans to prove it,Claiming to be “more than happy” with his party’s underdog status, the Scottish Labour leader insists the media are too obsessed by polling numbers,Now that postal voting packs have arrived Labour’s canvassers report that many among the unusually high number of undecided voters in this election are shifting towards Labour, he says.

With his party languishing at about 20% in the polls, hamstrung by Keir Starmer’s repeated policy failures and voter anger over the cost of living crisis, those undecided and swing voters are crucial,Scottish Labour has spent the largest sum in its history on this campaign, targeting hundreds of thousands of voters with tailored adverts on YouTube, Facebook and Instagram, on focus groups, private polling and on parsing highly sophisticated canvassing data,“What are you going to say after the election, if the polls were wrong?” he asks rhetorically, during a Guardian interview in Glasgow,“You know there are people in this country who will tell you their views rather than just relying on numbers on a spreadsheet,“The 800,000 people stuck in an NHS waiting list, the 10,000 kids that are homeless, all those families that have been affected by the drugs death crisis because of SNP failure, that’s the numbers I’m interested in.

“I honestly believe from the conversations we’re having that this election is all to play for.I think people do want to reject the poison of Reform.I think people do want the SNP out.What I’m going to persuade them on is that I’m the only vehicle that can achieve it on 7 May.”Reform is playing a huge role in this election.

A dramatic confrontation during a live TV debate earlier this month with its Scottish leader, the multimillionaire yachtsman Malcolm Offord, shone a light on its polarising and disruptive impact.Sarwar says Labour is targeting 38 out of Holyrood’s 73 first -ast-the-post constituency seats (with another 56 elected via regional lists) but he is rapidly running out of time.Many observers, including its allies in the Liberal Democrats, believe Scottish Labour is unlikely to beat the Scottish National party outright on 7 May, so would need support from the Lib Dems and Tories to outvote John Swinney and his allies in the Scottish Greens when Holyrood chooses the next first minister.With Reform on track to win 10 or more seats, it could play a pivotal role in that vote.Midway through a heated Channel 4 leaders debate, Offord alleged Sarwar had secretly suggested to him they should discuss doing a deal.

Sarwar vehemently denied doing so but Swinney, the SNP leader, leapt on the allegation, since repeated by two other Reform candidates, Graham Simpson and Thomas Kerr,Since that explosive encounter, the SNP has posted attack ads on social media suggesting Labour is poised to do a deal with Reform,Sarwar says what stung him most was Swinney amplifying those allegations, rather than backing Sarwar up when he attacked Offord’s party for standing candidates urging deportation of Muslim citizens and running racist adverts against him in previous campaigns,“The idea that those that are race-baiting me, that are spending the money on these adverts, are somehow ones that I’m secretly in cahoots with, is offensive, idiotic, and it actually demonstrates how desperate John Swinney and the SNP are,” Sarwar says,Swinney had the chance at that moment to show Scotland was “unified against that kind of hate”, Sarwar adds.

“But John Swinney didn’t choose to do that.He didn’t choose to be a so-called progressive leader, he didn’t choose to demonstrate he wanted to unify Scotland.“He chose to use that moment to make a political attack on me.Seriously.I think he needs to look in the mirror.

”Sarwar does not deny that Labour could try to build an anti-SNP alliance at Holyrood after the election, but insists he is now working “flat out” to win outright,“My job is not to talk about hypotheticals,My job is to try and create the result we need to win,”Relying on Reform votes was always politically very difficult for Sarwar; the conflict with Offord makes it impossible,Labour strategists now believe Reform is much more interested in disruption and instability, and would prefer a fifth successive SNP government.

Given those significant difficulties, Sarwar’s allies are furious that the crisis over Peter Mandelson’s vetting has again shifted attention on to a Labour prime minister’s competence and survival, and again allowed Swinney to weaponise public anger with Westminster.Sarwar has been building up to this election for more than five years.At the 2024 general election, he pulled off an unlikely and significant victory by winning 34 of Scotland’s 57 Westminster seats – Scottish Labour’s best result since 2010.After watching that polling support then collapse, he took the career-defining risk earlier this year of calling on Starmer to quit – a gamble intended to reassure furious Labour voters he agreed with them and also to prevent Swinney from turning the Holyrood elections into a referendum on Starmer’s government.Sarwar denies the Mandelson crisis has yet again knocked Scottish Labour off course.

He says his message is simple.“A vote for me and Scottish Labour in this election is not an endorsement of Keir Starmer.It’s about who the first minister is.And it’s not a vote to judge two years of a Labour government, it’s to judge 20 years of an SNP government, and it is not a protest election without consequence, it is about whether we get change here in Scotland.”His problem is getting Scotland’s voters to agree.

cultureSee all
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The Hours won awards for Nicole Kidman’s fake nose – and hearts as a queer classic

Michael Cunningham’s Pulitzer prize-winning book The Hours – inspired by Virginia Woolf’s seminal 1925 novel, Mrs Dalloway – imagines one day in the lives of three women separated across time periods. The triptych follows Woolf in the throes of writing Mrs Dalloway; Laura Brown, a depressed housewife who is reading Woolf’s novel in postwar America; and Clarissa Vaughan, a New Yorker who acts as a contemporary embodiment of Woolf’s titular character.Cunningham’s 1998 text, though widely acclaimed, was initially deemed unadaptable due to its nonlinear structure and stream-of-consciousness approach that paid homage to Woolf’s pioneering style. However, since its publication, The Hours (which takes its name from Mrs Dalloway’s working title), has been reinterpreted as an opera and, most notably, a 2002 film directed by Stephen Daldry.As the title suggests, the film explores the ways in which the routine of a single day can be at once beautiful in its ordinariness or seismic in its oppressive mundanity

3 days ago
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Vanessa’s a pillar of the hiking community | Brief letters

Your report (Campaigners seek listed status for historic trig points that mapped Britain, 16 April) didn’t mention the Vanessa trig point – Vanessa being a corruption of the Venesta company, which made cardboard tubes into which the concrete for the pillars was poured. These were designed for less accessible places, mostly in the Scottish Highlands and Islands. I was never less than half exhausted when I met one.Margaret SquiresSt Andrews, FifeThe Guardian’s journalism is independent. We will earn a commission if you buy something through an affiliate link

4 days ago
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Zoologist, author and presenter Desmond Morris dies aged 98

The zoologist Desmond Morris, perhaps best known for his book The Naked Ape and his work on the ITV programme Zoo Time, has died aged 98.Morris’s son Jason paid tribute to him after his death on Sunday, praising his many professional achievements as well as his role as a father and grandfather.“His was a lifetime of exploration, curiosity and creativity,” Jason said. “A zoologist, manwatcher, author and artist, he was still writing and painting right up until his death. He was a great man and an even better father and grandfather

4 days ago
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V&A East Storehouse and Norwich Castle among finalists for museum of the year

The V&A East Storehouse, the National Gallery and an accessible castle in Norwich are among the contenders for this year’s Art Fund museum of the year award, the most prestigious UK prize in the sector.The annual prize offers the winner £120,000, with £20,000 going to each of the other finalists, who the Art Fund’s director, Jenny Waldman, said had all “innovated in different ways”.This year’s list is dominated by some of the biggest names in the cultural sector that have undergone big refurbishments or invested in significant new outposts, such as the V&A’s East Storehouse, which will be seen by many as a frontrunner.Based in the Olympic Park in Stratford, east London, the space aims to reimagine what a storeroom can be, with partitions removed so visitors can see “and breathe the same air” as the objects. Waldman said the V&A Storehouse, which opened in spring 2025 at a cost of £65m, had broken the boundaries of what a store could be

4 days ago
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Letter: Sir Neil Cossons obituary

In 1971, Neil Cossons and I were on the staff of Liverpool Museum, and he invited me to accompany him on a visit to Ironbridge Gorge in Shropshire. We admired Blists Hill furnace, the bridge, the surrounding buildings and their setting, and shortly afterwards he became its director.The appeal it had as a monument to the industrial revolution lay in it being a complete entity. Many other site-based museums rely on translocating buildings, often into a replicated local landscape. History occurs in places, and Neil knew that raising one’s gaze from the built artefacts to the landscape enables understanding: preserving the place was crucial

5 days ago
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‘Women want to experience pleasure’: how the female gaze caught the attention of film, TV and fiction

From passionate romantasy novels to premium television dramas, culture is bringing the agency, desires and interior lives of women to the fore. It’s proving good for business, but is this a permanent revolution?Do you voraciously read the pages of steamy romantasy bestsellers by Sarah J Maas or Rebecca Yarros? Or flood your group chat with breathless recaps of the latest goings-on in TV series such as Heated Rivalry or Bridgerton? Or even immerse yourself in the divisive and challenging cinematic worlds of Emerald Fennell? If so, you surely can’t have failed to notice that in pop culture, the female gaze – storytelling that highlights the meandering, textured, sublimely messy inner worlds and wants of women – is enjoying an explosion.On TV, you can see it everywhere, in the interior lives and desires taken up by Big Little Lies, Sirens or Reese Witherspoon and Kerry Washington’s Little Fires Everywhere. Romantasy harbours it in the shape of powerful maidens and sex in fae (fairy) realms, while Fennell’s Wuthering Heights and Promising Young Woman are marketed with the promise of converting women’s experiences into dark beauty on the big screen.A shift, a moment or a commercial juggernaut? That depends how deeply you look

5 days ago
sportSee all
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Paige Shiver says ex-Michigan football coach Sherrone Moore ‘had complete control over me’

about 12 hours ago
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Patriots back coach Vrabel’s ‘leadership’ as new photos with NFL reporter Russini emerge

about 15 hours ago
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‘It has clearly exceeded expectations’: inside Red Bull’s F1 engine factory

about 15 hours ago
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Swiatek leads players’ surprise as WTA head Portia Archer quits after two years

about 19 hours ago
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Warner-Judd reveals mid-race seizure led to depression, deli shifts – and her London Marathon debut

about 19 hours ago
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Sportradar’s share price falls after reports claim it had links to hundreds of illegal gambling sites

about 21 hours ago