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Nearly two thirds of Tory members want pact with Reform, poll suggests, with close to half supporting full merger – as it happened

about 23 hours ago
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Andrew Rosindell is not alone in wanting a pact with Reform UK,(See 4,59am,) According to new polling by YouGov, almost two thirds of members want a pact, and almost half of them would support a full merger,The same poll found that half of members want Kemi Badenoch to be replaced as Tory leader before the next election, while 46% want her to stay on.

Overseas nationals denied benefits under a Conservative plan to limit social security to UK citizens would have the option to return to their own countries, the shadow chancellor, Mel Stride, has said.Stride was speaking as he unveiled details of plans to cut public spending by £47bn (see 7.59am, 8.09am and 12.36pm.

) Most of the money would be used for deficit reduction, but Stride also announced plans for a £4bn tax cut for business, a £2.8bn tax cut for young people and plans to cut household energy bills by £165 on average every year.(See 11.27am.)A Reform UK-run council where the party sought to pilot drastic cost-cutting plans is going to have to raise council tax, a cabinet member has admitted.

The finances of one of Nigel Farage’s key confidants are being examined by the UK’s tax and revenue authorities amid questions over his income from wealth and business activities, the Guardian understands.Jonathan Powell will appear before parliament for the first time amid questions about his role in the collapse of a trial of two Britons accused of spying for China.For a full list of all the stories covered on the blog today, do scroll through the list of key event headlines near the top of the blog.James Cleverly, the shadow housing secretary, attacked Sadiq Khan’s housing record as London mayor in his speech to the conference this afternoon.Since 2010, Conservatives have delivered 2.

5m homes – a million of those in the last parliament alone.Last year in the south-east of England, and the east of England, Conservative-run regions, about 2.5 new homes were built per thousand people.In London, run by Labour for the best part of a decade, 0.5 homes per thousand.

And so, what do those figures mean, for real people, for ordinary hard-working Londoners?In 1980, the average London home cost £25,000, and that was about four times the average national salary.Today, the average London house costs over £500,000.And that is fifteen times the average salary.That is Sadiq Khan’s record of failure.We should not, and we cannot, and we must not accept it.

There is speculation that Cleverly may put himself forward as the Tory candidate for London mayor at the next election, in 2028.Matt Chorley from the BBC has written an excellent long read on what Tory MPs are saying in private about Kemi Badenoch and her prospects.It includes this wonderful anecdote.In recent weeks, stung by criticism that she was aloof from her MPs, Badenoch has begun inviting in small groups for lunch.Well, platters of shop-bought sandwiches.

When I pointed out to one invitee that Badenoch famously declared last year that she hated sandwiches (in line with just 1% of the British public), they replied “oh no, the MPs had sandwiches, Kemi had something hot brought in”,Phillip Inman is a senior Guardian economics writer,John Glen, Kemi Badenoch’s bag carrier (parliamentary private secretary), has raised the prospect of the Conservative party taking away pension subsidies from better off taxpayers,Glen, who joked that his appointment in July as PPS had turned him into a slave, said there was a case to answer when the public finances were constrained and the level of pension subsidy had reached £50bn,At a fringe meeting, Glen, who sits on the Commons Treasury committee, said:We spend £40bn to £50bn on tax relief and £15bn to £20bn goes to people who pay the higher rates of tax.

We need to have an honest discussion about what the overall burden of tax should be.We have a system that is based on pension savings being exempt on entry and exempt on accumulation but taxed on exit.What we need to do is ask wha we can afford and what is fair.It is not the party’s policy to have a single rate.There would obviously be an opportunity to change the rate.

But philosophically, the question is about the role of the state,There are lots of people receiving 40% relief and building penion pots that are much more than securing just a reasonable pot alongside their triple lock pension,The question is, are there better ways to spend that money?Government pension subsidies are based on tax relief, which means those that pay the highest rates of tax gain the most from tax relief,A flat rate subsidy of 25% or 30% would increase the subsidy for standard rate taxpayers while cutting it for those who pay higher rates of tax,Andrew Rosindell is not alone in wanting a pact with Reform UK.

(See 4.59am.) According to new polling by YouGov, almost two thirds of members want a pact, and almost half of them would support a full merger.The same poll found that half of members want Kemi Badenoch to be replaced as Tory leader before the next election, while 46% want her to stay on.Lisa O’Carroll is a senior Guardian correspondent.

The Ulster Unionist party has condemned Conservative party leader Kemi Badenoch’s intention to leave the ECHR if she is voted into power,The UUP helped negotiate Good Friday agreement peace deal which is undermined by the convention,Mike Nesbitt, the UUP leader, said:The Ulster Unionist party negotiated the 1998 agreement,Any suggestion of the UK leaving the ECHR, as suggested by Ms Badenoch, would cut across the principles of that agreement, which guarantees access to the ECHR in law, a point the Conservative leader has said herself would be a point of ‘particular challenge’,Reform UK has reject claims that its efforts to find savings in Kent council have been disappointing.

Referring to a story in the Financial Times today (see 7.59am), Daisy Cooper, the Lib Dem deputy leader, said:Reform’s pledge to slash millions from Kent Council’s budget has turned out to be nothing but smoke and mirrors.Just like his idol Elon Musk, Zia Yusuf has spectacularly failed to deliver what Doge promised.It turns out cribbing the notes of dodgy American tech billionaires is no way to run a council.But a Reform UK spokesperson insisted the party’s Dolge (Department of Local Government Efficiency) was having an impact.

The spokesperson said:Our team in Kent county council have already done some fantastic work to clean up the mess left by the Kent Conservatives and reduce the county council’s debt by £66m in their first five months in office.The majority of that has come from savings as a result of their Dolge unit.This includes implementing a ‘no more borrowing’ policy which will reduce their debt by a further £33m by March 2026, scrapping KCC’s net zero renewable energy Programme to save £32m over 4 years and stopping the move to a new council building which has avoided an additional £14bn of borrowing.Referring to reports that Kent is likely to raise council tax by 5%, the maximum amount, a Reform source argued that most councils were expected to do that and claimed that not raising council tax could lead to an authority losing government grant money.The Conservative MP Andrew Rosindell has called for his party to form a pact with Reform UK to defeat Labour at the election.

In an interview with GB News, Rosindell said:Our electoral system can’t accommodate two parties that are broadly conservative.That means a divide in the vote and the calamity of another Labour government for five years, or even worse, a Labour government propped up by Liberal Democrats, Greens, Plaid Cymru, SNP, fruit and nut, and whoever else is around to prop Keir Starmer up in office.No, thank you.I would much rather see people of like mind on the right of centre to work together … We need to get everyone working together to rescue our country from the disaster of this left-wing socialist government.Rosindell, who represents Romford, said, without a pact, many Tory MPs, including him, faced defeat at the election.

I’m worried about many of my colleagues who will not come back as MPs, including me.At the moment my seat would almost certainly go to Reform.I think the whole of Essex would go Reform.Asked if he would stay with the Tories or defect to Reform before the electon, Rosindell said he wanted both parties “to think about what’s best for our country”.At the Politico fringe, Chris Philp, the shadow home secretary, was asked by Dan Bloom the Theresa May question – what was the naughtiest thing he hads ever done? His answer was more interesting than hers.

Philp replied:When I was a student at University at Oxford in the 1990s, OJ Simpson, remember him, came to speak at the Oxford Union, and he there was no press.So I was very enterprising.I smuggled a load of recording equipment into the place, before the security cordon went up, recorded the entire thing, retrieved the recording devices afterwards, and then sold the recordings to various American news stations for a decent amount of money, in cash.And I sold it simultaneously to ABC, NBC and CBS, all of whom thought they were getting it exclusively.Randeep Ramesh is the Guardian’s chief leader writer.

David Davis, the Tory former Brexit secretary, has told a fringe meeting at the party conference that he is opposed to the party’s decision to leave the European convention on human rights.Speaking to the Guardian, Davis, who is one of most prominent libertarians in the party, Davis said:I don’t trust any British government – Conservative Labour, coalition – to have entirely clean hands on civil liberties, torture and rendition, surveillance, 90 days detention without charge, all these things.And parliament is getting weaker and weaker.So that’s why I want to have some external agency.Davis said he was also concerned about the problems withdrawal from the ECHR would create in Northern Ireland.

It won’t destroy [the Belfast/Good Friday agreement] but it will cause issues and it will force a renegotiation with the Irish demanding things,On European trade policy, it would give the option to the Europeans of withdrawing certain aspects,Davis also believes that that efforts being made by several European countries to reform the ECHR, including the Labour government in Britain, may lead to changes,Chris Philp, the shadow home secretary, has played down concerns that the Trump-style removals force proposed by the party will adopt some of the thuggish and lawless tactics used by Ice (Immigration and Customs Enforcement), its US counterpart,Speaking at a fringe meeting at the conference, where he was being interviewed by Politico’s Dan Bloom, Philp said:There are some examples in the US where they have clearly used tactics that are too heavy handed, and people families have been separated.

We don’t advocate that sort of approach.We do advocate zero tolerance for illegal immigration and anyone entering this country illegally, no matter what their purported excuse, will get removed within a week.Philp told the same meeting there was another area where he would like to see the UK move closer to the US model.In the US there are thousands of government jobs which an incoming president can give to political appointees.In the UK the civil service in independent, and cabinet ministers are only allowed to bring in a handful of political appointee (special advisers, or “spads”) to help them.

Philp said he would like to see this number increased,I could imagine a few dozen people [as party political advisers] coming into a big department would make quite a big difference to ministers’ ability to get things done,Helen Whately, the shadow work and pensions secretary, has suggested the term “disabled” is being over-used if it applies to around a quarter of people,She made the claim in her speech in which she defended the Tory plan to cut benefits – which the party now says could save £23bn a year,(See 8.

09am.)She said:We are here because we know we have a really important job to do – if not us, who?But millions of people right now, are sitting on the sofa at home.Millions have got themselves a sick note from the GP and signed onto sickness benefits with just a form and a phone call.Millions are getting benefits for anxiety and ADHD, along with a free Motability car.TikTok videos tell you how - and some people even pay for VIP services to boost their chances of a successful benefits claim.

Yes, there are people with serious illnesses and disabilities,But one in four people now describe themselves as disabled, so what does the term even mean?In claiming that the term disabled is used too widely, Whately is just echoing an argument made by Kemi Badenoch, who made a very similar comment earlier this year,There is an explanation for the ‘one in four’ figure (24%, to be precise) in this DWP report,It is based on the definition of disabled in the Equality Act, which says a person is considered to have a disability if they have a physical or mental impairment that has ‘substantial’ and ‘long term’ negative effects on their ability to do normal daily activities,In her speech, Whately also claimed she had a “common sense” plan to cut welfare spending,I’ve got my common sense plan for savings.

Fix the ‘sick note’ system, bring back face-to-face assessments, end sickness benefits for low level mental health problems, stop the abuse of Motability, and put British citizens first in our benefits system – just living here is not a reason to get money from taxpayers.And that’s not all.We will change our sickness benefit system, so it helps those who really need help and stops turning people into victims.We will make the benefits cap do what it should, so that families on benefits aren’t better off than those in work.And we’ll tackle the massive hike in housing benefit
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Jaguar Land Rover aims to restart limited production after cyber-attack

Some factory workers at Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) returned to work on Monday, with the British manufacturer hoping to start making a limited number of cars as soon as this week after a crippling cyber-attack.The first factory expected to restart production is at Wolverhampton in the West Midlands, where JLR makes engines. Some workers are understood to have returned to the site on Monday.Suppliers have also been told JLR may look to restart limited production at its factories in Nitra, Slovakia, and Solihull in the West Midlands by the end of this week, according to two people with knowledge of the situation. Nitra makes JLR’s Land Rover Defender, while Solihull – JLR’s biggest site – produces the Range Rover, its flagship luxury model

about 22 hours ago
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As London stock market listings show signs of life, Reeves must add momentum | Nils Pratley

After the drought, here comes the rain. Well, more of a light drizzle actually, but three flotations or float announcements in the space of a few days will be a relief for the parched London Stock Exchange.The biggest is Shawbrook, a bank focused on buy-to-let mortgages and lending to small businesses. It was taken off the market in 2017 by a pair of private equity firms, BC Partners and Pollen Street, and should now return by the end of the year with a likely £2bn-ish valuation.The timing is superficially odd because the talk is of higher taxes on banks in Rachel Reeves’s budget next month, but makes sense in other ways

about 23 hours ago
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France is in crisis but bond markets leave other governments at risk of meltdown too

Sébastien Lecornu’s abrupt resignation as the French prime minister on Monday after less than a month in the role marked the latest clash between France’s stretched public finances and its polarised politics.Lecornu was the latest prime minister to try and fail to cobble together a package of spending cuts and tax rises that would pass muster in a parliament without a clear majority, and contain mounting bond market pressures.Emmanuel Macron is left with the choice of appointing yet another premier to try their luck with the political maths – or resigning himself. Not surprisingly, markets were rattled by the news on Monday.France’s travails are particularly acute, but the president is far from alone in 2025 in trying to grapple with a mismatch between overstretched public finances and a weary electorate with little appetite for budget cuts

about 24 hours ago
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Tax authorities examine finances of key Nigel Farage ally

The finances of one of Nigel Farage’s key confidants are being examined by the UK’s tax and revenue authorities amid questions over his income from wealth and business activities, the Guardian understands.The scoping exercise by HMRC is said to be focused on tax residency and the business affairs of George Cottrell, whom Reform UK’s leader Farage has described as “like a son to me”.Known as “Posh George”, Cottrell, 31, leads an expensive lifestyle, frequently travelling around the world and regularly using a £4m house in one of the wealthiest areas of west London.Cottrell has emerged as a senior figure within Reform’s leadership and supporter network at a time when the party is surging ahead in the polls.A recent BMG poll for the i newspaper put the party on 35% – 15 points ahead of Labour

1 day ago
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Politics drives markets: euro and Paris stock market slide amid French political crisis; Japanese stocks surge after Takaichi’s victory– business live

Newsflash: France’s stock market has suddenly lurched lower, as political turmoil in Paris ratchets up a notch.The CAC 40 share index has tumbled by 1.8%, following reports that France’s new prime minister, Sebastien Lecornu, has reportedly resigned!That’s a remarkable development, as Lecornu took office less than a month ago, and unveiled key members of his new government only yesterday.These news alerts, from Reuters, came just before the market tumble:06 Oct 2025 08:42:42 - NEW FRENCH PM LECORNU HAS PRESENTED HIS RESIGNATION TO MACRON - BFM TV CITING ELYSEE06 Oct 2025 08:43:12 - ELYSEE: MACRON HAS ACCEPTED RESIGNATION OF PM LECORNUTime to wrap up….Political drama in Paris and Tokyo have gripped investors today, with mounting anxiety over politicians’ ability to address rising government debt levels

1 day ago
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UK regulators step up crackdown on firms chasing cut of car finance payouts

UK regulators have shut down some claims companies and ordered others to stop taking on clients as they step up a crackdown on firms making misleading statements about car finance compensation.Four regulators have joined forces to tackle a wave of bad practices among claims management companies (CMCs) and consumer law firms that are attempting to grab a slice of the billions of pounds in compensation set to be paid to victims of the car finance commission scandal.On Tuesday the Financial Conduct Authority is due to announce more details of a planned official compensation scheme for people who have lost out, which should mean payouts begin next year.Millions of people are in line for compensation after a supreme court ruling in August. This largely overturned an earlier ruling that could have led to compensation payouts of up to £44bn but will still result in a redress scheme covering some car loans dating back to 2007 that could mean up to £18bn is paid out

1 day ago
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Ineos to cut a fifth of Hull jobs, blaming ‘dirt-cheap’ imports from China

about 9 hours ago
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Australia Post releases footage of posties being hit by cars as it urges drivers to ‘keep an eye out’

about 14 hours ago
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‘We want justice’: workers at Amazon warehouses in Saudi Arabia still waiting on financial redress

1 day ago
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‘Obedient, yielding and happy to follow’: the troubling rise of AI girlfriends

1 day ago
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Trevor Lawrence’s trip and score TD leads Jaguars to thrilling late win over Chiefs

about 13 hours ago
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Marnus Labuschagne dropped from Australia ODI squad to face India

about 13 hours ago