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Trump bill set to add trillions to US debt pile – can America stop it climbing?

8 days ago
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Economists are concerned, politicians are angry – but the national debt keeps growing, no matter who’s in chargeIn this febrile political era, few issues command stronger bipartisan support than the need for fiscal responsibility.Barack Obama and Donald Trump committed to curtail the US national debt on their respective roads to the White House.And yet, no matter the party, Americans have been able to count on one thing above most: the national debt will keep climbing.And here we are again.With Trump’s “big, beautiful bill” threatening to add once more to the US’s huge debts, several Republican senators are threatening to block his current spending plans, with Rand Paul of Kentucky among those highly critical.

Departing the White House, Elon Musk, the world’s richest man, branded the bill a “disgusting abomination”.But this administration is not alone.For decades, economists have expressed concern about US debt.Politicians have repeatedly pledged to tackle it.All the while, the pile continued to swell.

Back in 2008, when Obama declared on the campaign trail it was high time Washington started “taking responsibility for every dime that it spends”, it stood at about $14.46tn.Back in 2015, when Trump promised on the trail to “bring it down big league and quickly,” it stood at about $24.07tn.Last year, it rose to $35.

46tn.On Wall Street, concern has been mounting to the brink of panic.Calling on Trump to reduce the deficit – the gap between what the US federal government spends and the money it raises, mainly via taxes – the billionaire investor Ray Dalio warned in March of a crisis within three years.“I can’t tell you exactly when it’ll come,” he told Bloomberg.“It’s like the heart attack.

”Trump appears to have paid little attention.While he dispatched the billionaire industrialist Musk to wield the axe across the federal government in the name of efficiency, Trump also pushed for sweeping tax cuts that impartial analysts estimate will add trillions of dollars to the debt pile.The anxiety stepped up a gear last month, when the ratings agency Moody’s stripped the US of its last major top-tier credit rating, and cited the size of the debt pile now – and how large it expects it will grow.“Successive US administrations and Congress have failed to agree on measures to reverse the trend of large annual fiscal deficits and growing interest costs,” said Moody’s, predicting that “current fiscal proposals under consideration” would not lessen spending or reduce deficits.“Over the next decade, we expect larger deficits as entitlement spending rises while government revenue remains broadly flat.

”There is technically a cap – known as the debt ceiling, or limit – on what the federal government can borrow.The first such broad limit, introduced in 1939, was set at a mere $45bn.Time and again, the US treasury department has been forced to ask Congress for the ceiling to be lifted, or suspended.This process has repeatedly sparked legislative battles on Capitol Hill in recent years, drawing in unrelated issues as the US drifted towards default on its debts, and prompting questions over the reliability of US debt as an investment – and calls for the limit to be scrapped altogether.Sign up to Business TodayGet set for the working day – we'll point you to all the business news and analysis you need every morningafter newsletter promotionExplaining its downgrade last month, Moody’s noted that, as US deficits and debt have swollen, interest rates have risen, and interest payments on US government debt have increased markedly.

The ratings agency expects the federal debt burden, equivalent to 98% of US gross domestic product (GDP) last year, to rise to 134% of GDP by 2035.“Talk is cheap.People can say a lot of things,” said Owen Zidar, professor of economics and public affairs at Princeton University.“It’s easier to see what the policies have actually been.”When faced with a choice between prioritizing deficit reduction or an expensive policy, such as Obama’s widening of health insurance coverage, “it’s not unreasonable to prioritize health insurance coverage”, Zidar suggested.

“The key thing is to avoid big mistakes that are hard to reverse.”The Clinton administration made some “hard choices” about where, and where not, to spend, he said, adding that tax cuts and the Iraq war under the Bush administration in early noughties were “a big part of why we have debt and deficit problems today”.Presidents have historically managed to reassure investors, up to a point, that they shared their concern.“If we stay on the current path”, Obama said during a debt ceiling battle in 2011, “our growing debt could cost us jobs and do serious damage to the economy.”But the volatility of Trump, who called himself the “king of debt” and once even mooted only paying back half during his first run for the presidency, has added a layer of doubt.

“The Debt Limit should be entirely scrapped to prevent an Economic catastrophe,” he wrote on Truth Social, his social network, this week.“An erratic administration that generates a lot of uncertainty and calls into question things that have been true for most of the western world, that is a frightening prospect when the fiscal fundamentals aren’t as good as they have always been,” said Zidar.
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Magpies show just why they’re AFL flag favourites after scraping past Demons | Jonathan Horn

With a point in it and half a minute to go in the King’s birthday clash, Scott Pendlebury stood at centre half forward, pointing like Babe Ruth. He had no intention of taking the shot of course. He dinked it sideways, and bought a little bit more time. A few precious seconds later, Max Gawn completely shanked his kick and Melbourne’s final chance had been extinguished.The final moments, and indeed the entire game, was an example of quality over quantity

6 days ago
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Injury crisis brewing for British & Irish Lions with Zander Fagerson out of tour

The British & Irish Lions are facing mounting injury problems at tighthead prop after Zander Fagerson was ruled out of the tour of Australia with a calf injury, amid serious question marks over Tadhg Furlong’s fitness.Fagerson, who has not appeared for Glasgow since early April, has been replaced in the squad by Ireland’s Finlay Bealham with a depleted group of 24 players heading to Portugal on Tuesday for a training camp.With Leinster, Bath, Leicester and Toulouse players unavailable because of club commitments, Furlong will not travel to Portugal but he, too, is struggling with a calf injury, having not appeared since early May.Will Stuart is preparing for Bath’s Premiership final against Leicester so, in Portugal, Andy Farrell is without all three of the tightheads named in the initial 38-man squad. As a result Asher Opoku‑Fordjour – who can play on either side of the scrum – has been added to the camp and the 20‑year‑old Sale prop must be in with a chance of making the full squad given the concerns over Furlong

6 days ago
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Audacious Banton turns tables on West Indies to seal series for England

The drought continues for the West Indies men. A total of 196 looked enough to end a sequence of nine consecutive away defeats against England, a run that began with the bio-bubble Test series of 2020.With the hosts requiring 71 off 39 balls, Jos Buttler and Harry Brook gone, the game was heading to the visitors. Then came Tom Banton, a first-ball six and a change of tune, the final summary a four-wicket England win to secure an unassailable 2-0 lead in the T20 international series.Banton is usually a top-order man in this format but he was dominant in the middle alongside Jacob Bethell as the pair put on 43 off just 15

6 days ago
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It’s just not cricket to call cycling ‘extreme’ | Letters

Simon Burnton (England cricketers forced into emergency travel plans before third West Indies ODI, 3 June) describes the “extreme measures” that the England cricket players took in cycling, using buses and walking to the Oval to avoid heavy traffic. Excuse me, but what’s extreme about not driving?Peter KaanExeter The correspondence on the Caribbean origins of rum (6 June) reminded me of my experience of this as a sailing ship crew on St Vincent in 1975. From a small village bar we were able to regularly buy Mount Bentinck triple distilled rum at 180 degrees proof. It cost 50p if you took your own bottle. We bought a large carboy for the crew cabin

6 days ago
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Heartache turns to hope as South Africa seek to shake ‘chokers’ tag in WTC final | Daniel Gallan

A South African cricket fan’s standout World Cup catastrophe will depend on when they were born. Baby boomers cite the time, back in 1992, when Brian McMillan was left needing 22 runs off one ball after rain in Sydney washed away any hope of a chase. Millennials are forever haunted by Alan Donald’s dropped bat in that tied semi-final in 1999. Gen Zs must still be wondering how Heinrich Klaasen and David Miller failed to get over the line with 30 needed off as many balls in last year’s T20 final.The Proteas choking when it matters most is a tale as old as the country itself

7 days ago
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Passion remains at Derby but empty spaces among Epsom spectators are growing

A yellow weather warning put a lid on the walk-up attendance on the Hill at Epsom on Saturday, and though the Derby itself avoided the worst of the rain, when it did finally arrive, about half an hour after the big race, it sent many spectators scurrying for an early exit. At the end of a three‑month period with historically low rainfall, it was horribly bad luck.But there was still something else missing throughout the afternoon at what was once Britain’s greatest public sporting event. Aidan O’Brien put his finger on it, albeit obliquely, after Lambourn’s all-the-way victory in the Classic. “Chester [where Lambourn trialled for Epsom in the Chester Vase] is a great place for putting an edge on a horse,” he said

6 days ago
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Chris Hadfield: ‘Worst space chore? Fixing the toilet. It’s even worse when it’s weightless’

7 days ago
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No CCTV on William Blake’s pleasant pastures seen | Brief letters

8 days ago
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Latex, Teletubbies and Miranda July: putting my way through feminist mini-golf course Swingers

10 days ago
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Want to see Oasish play GlastonBarry? Well, you can! How tribute festivals ‘grew into a monster’

8 days ago
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Stephen Colbert on Trump v Musk: ‘Like Real Housewives on the girls’ trip’

8 days ago
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Cardiff’s first modern art museum will aim to showcase Welsh talent

9 days ago